Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at PTM Regional
decks
1
(3.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-1-1
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
76.4%
avg ELO +14.1 per match
expected value
56.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
61.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1282
· median 1282
· range 1282–1282
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1029
Q1 1168
Q3 1403
1558
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 15.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.1% | +21.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 61.3% | +10.9 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +17.9 |
| Slimes | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | +2.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Merlin | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.1% | +20.9 |
| Water Fractal | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Chess | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
